Carmarthen East and Dinefwr (Welsh: Dwyrain Caerfyrddin a Dinefwr) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. It is one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to eight constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Dwyrain Caerfyrddin a Dinefwr
Senedd county constituency
for the Senedd
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr shown within the Mid and West Wales electoral region and the region shown within Wales
Current Senedd county constituency
Created1999
PartyPlaid Cymru
MSAdam Price
Preserved countyDyfed

It had been held since its formation in 1999 by the Plaid Cymru politician, Rhodri Glyn Thomas until his retirement in 2016. It is now held by Plaid Cymru politician Adam Price, who became leader of the party in 2018.

Boundaries

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Map of current boundaries

1999 to 2007

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The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Westminster constituency. It was a Dyfed constituency, one of five constituencies covering, and entirely within, the preserved county of Dyfed.

The other four Dyfed constituencies were Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli and Preseli Pembrokeshire. They were all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consisted of the eight constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli, Meirionnydd Nant Conwy, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

From 2007

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The constituency includes the whole of 41 Carmarthenshire communities (Abergwili; Ammanford; Betws; Cenarth; Cilycwm; Cwmamman; Cynwyl Gaeo; Dyffryn Cennen; Gorslas; Llanarthney; Llanddarog; Llanddeusant; Llandeilo; Llandovery; Llandybie; Llandyfaelog; Llanegwad; Llanfair-ar-y-bryn; Llanfihangel Aberbythych; Llanfihangel-ar-Arth; Llanfihangel Rhos-y-Corn; Llanfynydd; Llangadog; Llangathen; Llangeler; Llangunnor; Llangyndeyrn; Llanllawddog; Llanllwni; Llansadwrn; Llansawel; Llanwrda; Llanybydder; Llanycrwys; Manordeilo and Salem; Myddfai; Newcastle Emlyn; Pencarreg; Quarter Bach; St Ishmael; Talley).

Boundaries changed for the 2007 Assembly election. Carmarthen East and Dinefwr remains one of five Dyfed constituencies and one of eight constituencies in the Mid and West Wales region. However, boundaries within Dyfed changed, to realign them with local government ward boundaries and to reduce the disparities in the sizes of constituency electorates, and the boundaries of the region changed, to align them with the boundaries of preserved counties.

The other four Dyfed constituencies are, again, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Llanelli and Preseli Pembrokeshire, all within the Mid and West Wales electoral region.

The region consists of the constituencies of Brecon and Radnorshire, Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Dwyfor Meirionnydd, Llanelli, Montgomeryshire and Preseli Pembrokeshire.

For Westminster purposes, the same new constituency boundaries became effective for the 2010 United Kingdom general election.

Voting

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In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and Members of the Senedd

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Election Member Party
1999 Rhodri Glyn Thomas Plaid Cymru
2016 Adam Price

Elections

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Elections in the 2020s

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2021 Senedd election: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr[1]
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[2]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Adam Price[a] 15,261 45.9 -2.6 13,403 40.0 -3.2
Labour Robert James 8,448 25.41 +6.2 8,531 25.5 +5.5
Conservative Havard Hughes 7,751 23.31 +8.2 7,125 21.3 +6.8
Liberal Democrats Monica French 975 2.93 +0.1 732 2.2 -0.9
Reform UK Karl Pollard 818 2.46 New 350 1.0 New
Green 1,320 3.9 +1.2
Abolish 785 2.3 -1.0
UKIP 508 1.5 -9.9
Christian 174 0.5 New
Freedom Alliance (UK) 163 0.5 New
Gwlad 154 0.5 New
Propel 128 0.4 New
Communist 92 0.3 +0.1
TUSC 26 0.1 New
Majority 6,813 20.48 −8.8
Turnout 33,253 51.94[3] −1.8
Plaid Cymru hold Swing
Notes
  1. ^ Incumbent member for this constituency

Elections in the 2010s

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Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Party Candidate Constituency[4] Regional[5]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Adam Price 14,427 48.5 +3.6 12,825 43.2 +3.2
Labour Steve Jeacock 5,727 19.2 -10.8 5,930 20.0 -6.6
Conservative Matthew Paul 4,489 15.1 -5.1 4,288 14.5 -3.2
UKIP Neil Hamilton 3,474 11.7 New 3,393 11.4 +7.6
Liberal Democrats William Powell 837 2.8 -2.0 919 3.1 -0.8
Green Freya Amsbury 797 2.7 New 787 2.7 -1.2
Abolish 973 3.3 New
People First (Wales) 159 0.5 New
Monster Raving Loony 122 0.4 New
Welsh Christian 116 0.4 -0.3
Association of Welsh Independents 83 0.3 New
Communist 68 0.2 -0.1
Majority 8,700 29.3 +14.4
Turnout 29,751 53.7 +2.4
Plaid Cymru hold Swing +7.2
Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Party Candidate Constituency [6] Regional[7]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Rhodri Glyn Thomas 12,501 44.9 -8.6 11,129 40.0 -4.3
Labour Antony Jones 8,353 30.0 +5.4 7,419 26.6 +5.1
Conservative Henrietta Hensher 5,635 20.2 +4.2 4,941 17.7 +3.0
Liberal Democrats Will Griffiths 1,339 4.8 -1.2 1,085 3.9 -0.4
Green 1,088 3.9 -0.3
UKIP 1,058 3.8 +0.6
Socialist Labour 470 1.7 +0.6
BNP 392 1.4 -1.2
Welsh Christian 194 0.7 0.0
Communist 71 0.3 0.0
Majority 4,148 14.9 −14.0
Turnout 27,828 51.3 −3.6
Plaid Cymru hold Swing -7.1

Regional ballots rejected: 132[8]

Elections in the 2000s

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Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[9]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Rhodri Glyn Thomas 15,655 53.5 +5.0 12,956 44.3 +3.2
Labour Kevin Madge 7,186 24.6 -6.6 6,282 21.5 -7.6
Conservative Henrietta Hensher 4,676 16.0 +2.6 4,292 14.7 +2.6
Liberal Democrats Ian Walton 1,752 6.0 -1.0 1,244 4.3 -2.6
Green 1,219 4.2 -+0.4
UKIP 948 3.2 +0.8
BNP 756 2.6 New
Gwynoro Jones - Independent 423 1.4 New
Caroline Evans - Independent 390 1.3 New
Socialist Labour 321 1.1 New
Welsh Christian 194 0.7 New
Communist 91 0.3 New
Veritas 79 0.3 New
CPA 40 0.1 New
Majority 8,469 28.9 +11.6
Turnout 29,269 55.7 +6.2
Plaid Cymru hold Swing +5.9
Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Party Candidate Constituency Regional[10]
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Rhodri Glyn Thomas 12,969 48.5 -4.6 11,021 41.1 -12.1
Labour Anthony Cooper 8,355 31.2 -0.5 7,810 29.1 +3.8
Conservative Harri Lloyd Davies 3,576 13.4 +4.9 3,253 12.1 +2.4
Liberal Democrats Steffan John 1,866 7.0 +0.3 1,859 6.9 +0.9
Green 1,018 3.8 Unknown
Mid and West Wales Pensioners 848 3.2 New
UKIP 644 2.4 New
Cymru Annibynnol 188 0.7 New
Vote 2 Stop the War 103 0.4 New
Prolife Alliance 51 0.2 New
Majority 4,614 17.3 −4.1
Turnout 26,766 49.5 −11.5
Plaid Cymru hold Swing -2.1

2003 Electorate: 54,110
Regional ballots rejected: 239

Elections in the 1990s

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Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Carmarthen East and Dinefwr
Party Candidate Constituency Regional
Votes % ±% Votes % ±%
Plaid Cymru Rhodri Glyn Thomas 17,328 53.1 N/A 17,469 53.3 N/A
Labour Chris Llewelyn 10,348 31.7 N/A 8,253 25.3 N/A
Conservative Helen Stoddart 2,776 8.5 N/A 3,168 9.7 N/A
Liberal Democrats Juliana Hughes 2,202 6.7 N/A 1,961 6.0 N/A
Other list parties 1,782 5.5 N/A
Majority 6,980 21.4
Turnout 32,654 61.0
Plaid Cymru win (new seat)

References

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  1. ^ [1] Archived 12 May 2021 at the Wayback Machine Carmarthen East and Dinefwr Statement of Persons Nominated
  2. ^ "Senedd Cymru Elections: Mid and West Wales region - Carmarthen East and Dinefwr". Carmarthenshire Council. Retrieved 29 July 2021.
  3. ^ Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 20 November 2021.
  4. ^ "Wales elections > Carmarthen East and Dinefwr". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
  5. ^ "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
  6. ^ "Wales elections > Carmarthen East and Dinefwr". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 8 March 2011.
  7. ^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales Election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 30 October 2021.
  8. ^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
  9. ^ "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
  10. ^ The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Archived from the original on 3 June 2023. Retrieved 24 October 2021.

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